The Nunataryuk project will adopt a management structure that accomodates the complexity of the project, as well as its size and ambition. Both data management and communication and dissemination strategies will be planned from the outset and implemented to maximise the impact of the project outcomes on local, national, EU and international levels.
- The specific objectives of WP10 are:
- O10.1: Efficiently coordinate and manage scientific and administrative aspects of the project.
- O10.2: Plan and implement an efficient multi-level communication and dissemination strategy.
- O10.3: Plan and implement a comprehensive data and knowledge management strategy.
- O10.4: Coordinate and foster training and knowledge transfer activities.
- O10.5: Plan and update an ambitious exploitation plan for the post-project period
Prof. Hugues Lantuit, Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research
Description of deliverables
D10.1 Nunataryuk website (AP) – Month 3
D10.2 Inception of SAB, terms of reference (AWI) - Month 3
D10.3 Inception of Stakeholder Forum, terms of reference (AWI) - Month 6
D10.4 Nunataryuk Communication and Outreach Strategy (AWI) – Month 6
D10.5 Nunataryuk Data Management Plan (AP) – Month 6
D10.6 Knowledge management and exploitation plan (AWI) - Month 6
D10.7 1st Annual report on project cumulative expenditure (AWI) - Month 13
D10.8 2nd Annual report on project cumulative expenditure (AWI) - Month 25
D10.9 3rd Annual report on project cumulative expenditure (AWI) - Month 37
D10.10 Report on Nunataryuk summer schools (AWI) – Month 48
D10.11 4th Annual report on project cumulative expenditure (AWI) - Month 49
D10.12 Atlas of Arctic Permafrost (GRIDA) – Month 54
D10.13 5th Annual report on project cumulative expenditure (AWI) - Month 60
D10.14 Report on Nunataryuk data management and products (AWI, AP) – Month 60
The aim of WP8 is to implement knowledge and data synthesized in the project into the Earth System Modelling framework and to provide estimates of economic costs of permafrost thaw using Integrated Assessment modelling approach. Currently, despite the vast carbon stocks contained within land and subsea permafrost, it is either not represented at all in ESMs, or limited to a one dimensional description of the land permafrost without lateral exchange (Vonk and Gustafsson, 2013). The neglect of subsea permafrost, in particular, is a major weakness. Both sub-permafrost and intra- permafrost carbon stocks, whether in the form of buried vegetation/soil or as preformed greenhouse gas, are poorly constrained, in terms of distribution, amount and source (McGuire et al. 2009). WP8 aims at addressing these omissions.
- The specific objectives of WP8 are:
- O8.1: Implement knowledge and data synthesized in the project into Earth System Models.
- O8.2: Perform modelling and evaluation of CO2 and CH4 fluxes from sub-sea permafrost and coastal permafrost regions on pan-Arctic scale.
- O8.3: Provide projections of permafrost-caused CO2 and CH4 emissions based on several CMIP6 scenarios, as well as estimates of economic costs of these emissions using Integrated Assessment modelling approach.
Dr. Victor Brovkin, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
Description of deliverables
D8.1 Protocol of data exchange between Eatrh System and socio-economic models (IIASA) - Month 12
D8.2 Physical sub-sea permafrost model on pan-Arctic scale (MPG) – Month 42
D8.3 Climate and economic projections for Arctic (IIASA) – Month 42
WP9’s aim is to integrate the knowledge collected in the other WPs in order to develop adaptation and mitigation strategies at the local, regional and global scales. The WP will also develop indicators of change to monitor the impacts of these strategies in the future. WPs 1-7 will accumulate enormous amounts of physical science and social science data, while WP8 will use some of them for modelling purposes. All too often, interdisciplinary projects leave qualitative data and stakeholders inputs outside of the realm of their scientific analyses. WP9 will overcome this limitation by integrating physical science and social science data (including traditional knowledge) in identifying key risks, developing scenarios, as well as establishing socio-physical sustainability indicators of Arctic coastal regions. Work within WP9 will address local, regional and global scales, starting from what we know globally and moving to the lessons of local case studies, while looking for pan-arctic patterns. Adaptation and mitigation strategies are the starting and end points of the WP, which means that stakeholder involvement is as central to WP9 as the science-informed communication with decision makers, as is the academic analysis of these interactions.
- The specific objectives of the WP are:
- O9.1: Identify and quantify the impact of permafrost thaw on current adaptation and mitigation strategies at the global level.
- O9.2: Identify key physical and social risks from permafrost thaw and the potential for reducing risks through effective adaptation and mitigation strategies, and the implementation of policies.
- O9.3: Develop Arctic specific indicators of human development and physical changes in the coastal zone for effective measurement and tracking of (Arctic) change and its associated sectoral and socio-economic impacts.
- O9.4: Undertake scenario-building and formulate conceptual socio-economic models under different climate scenarios to help inform the development and evaluation of adaptation and mitigation strategies for coastal infrastructure, the economy, and society along the Arctic coast.
Dr. Joan Nymand Larsen, Stefansson Arctic Institute, Iceland
Prof. Peter Schweitzer, Department of Social and Cultural Anthropology, University of Vienna
Description of deliverables
D9.1 Consultation and risk workshop plan (UNIVIE) - Month 8
D9.2 Risk model framework development (SAI) - Month 24
D9.3 Report on the global impact of permafrost thaw (IIASA) - Month 54
D9.4 Risk model, with identified key risks (SAI, UNIVIE) – Month 54
D9.5 Arctic-specific indicators (social/bio-physical), and a framework model for monitoring Arctic change and permafrost thaw in coastal communities (SAI, UNIVIE) – Month 54
D9.6 Report on adaptation and mitigation strategies to address socio-economic threats and impact of thawing permafrost in different coastal contexts (SAI, UNIVIE) – Month 54
WP7’s aims are to create new datasets on the socio-economical status of the Arctic coastal zone, including the growth of new opportunities associated with climate change and to develop a framework for natural resource management affected by permafrost thaw.
- The specific objectives of WP7 are:
- O7.1: Establish a permafrost-thawing relevant socioeconomic georeferenced dataset.
- O7.2: Develop a framework for natural resource management affected by permafrost thawing. This framework will integrate three core domains – institutional, conceptual and policy tools and implementation.
- O7.3: Analyse ecosystem services and provide economic quantification.
- O7.4: Develop and apply protocols for collecting community and traditional knowledge.
- O7.5: Develop ground tested social and economic impact quantification and qualification protocols and tools geared at coastal communities facing changes in the eco-system due to permafrost thawing.
- O7.6: Engage young people for impact assessments of the future of the coastal communities and opportunities for SME development, entrepreneurship, educational opportunities and youth involvement.
Dr. Timothy Heleniak, NORDREGIO, Sweden
Description of deliverables
D7.1 Data survey on all Arctic coastal communities and associated referencebaseline database (NORDREGIO) - Month 8
D7.2 Socio-economic atlas of Arctic coastal communities and associated reference baseline database (NORDREGIO) – Month 15
D7.3 Synthesis report: Good practice in identifying Eco-system services at the Arctic Coast including identifying impacts on resource based economies (NORDREGIO, KQ, UOULU) – Month 24
D7.4 Report on the social construction of permafrost thawing including economic impact, within Arctic coastal communities: a qualitative and quantitative analytical framework (NORDREGIO, KQ, UOULU) - Month 30
D7.5 Report on permafrost thawing, natural resource based economy, and Arctic coastal communities' ability to face the associated risks: an integrated strategic framework (NORDREGIO, UVSQ) – Month 42